August 30, 2006

Good news for Ankrum, Bad for McCaul in CD10

The Ankrum campaign wanted some hard polling data on CD10, so they spent some money on a poll. I'm sure many would consider this a waste of resources but in this case Ted hit pay dirt. Here are the questions (lest someone think this a push poll) and the percentages. As Ted pointed out in his email, CD10 has been referred to as the 'second reddest district in Texas' by some analysts who clearly don't understand what anyone who's been out of a metro recently knows with absolute certainty... rural voters are ANGRY.

Q1. Are you a registered voter who intends to vote in the election? Only "yes" answers continued with the call

Q2. Michael McCaul is your current Representative in Congress. What are your thoughts on his reelection?
34.7% Would you definitely vote to reelect him
39.1% Would you consider other candidates
26.1% Would you definitely vote to replace him

Q3. The three Candidates for Congress are Michael McCaul, the Republican, Ted Ankrum, the Democrat, and Michael Badnarik, the Libertarian.
50.8% Would you vote for Michael McCaul, the Republican
41.6% Would you vote for Ted Ankrum, the Democrat
7.6% Would you vote for Michael Badnarik, the Libertarian

Q4 In times such as these, should a Representative follow the lead of the President or follow the opinion of voters in their District? In a situation where the two do not agree:
23.2% The Representative should follow the President
76.8% The Representative should follow the voters

Q5. What is your opinion of President Bush' job performance on a scale of 1 to 4, where 1 means you strongly approve and 4 means you strongly disapprove?
25.7% Strongly approve
22.8% Somewhat approve
9.4% Some disapproval
42.0% Strong disapproval

Question 4 is the one that should stand out. More than 75% of the voters think a Congressman should be responsive to the people, not the President. McCaul (R-Clear Channel Communications) has completely ignored his Constitutional duty as a Congressman to check the power of the President and has instead worked diligently to further the President's failed policies acting, in effect, as little more than a rubber stamp for whatever the President wants.

I've been telling some of my incredulous friends here in Austin that Texas, if the Democrats seize the moment, is ready to flip in one cycle. The reason is rural voters who have been, even more miserably than urban voters, really stomped on by Republicans in Washington and Austin. What's needed is for everyone to ditch the pessimism and realize that we are on the cusp of a transformation in Texas politics.

Now is the time for bold commitment, not meekly playing the numbers and only working on 'sure things'.

Posted by mcblogger at August 30, 2006 12:49 PM

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Well put, McBlogger. I would only add, amongst the "now is NOT the time"s " contribute more Big Money to a Failed Republican Polling in Single Digits Despite Huge Name Recognition and Said Big Money"

Posted by: Harry Balczak at August 30, 2006 02:30 PM

Those are astounding negatives for that district. Ted needs to go right after McCaul, right away. He can most certainly win a district that is much closer than I would have thought.

Posted by: PDiddie at August 30, 2006 06:03 PM

Sorry for the repetitive comment, but:

Do let's show Ted some blog love, give to his campaign today!

Posted by: John at August 30, 2006 08:54 PM

Ted is hugely qualified as Deputy Director of EPA and Assistant Director of NASA. He was also a diplomat to Australia under Clinton. His resume sizzles.

This is the hard data we have needed to get behind this campaign. What the poll does not show is that this is a negative for the GOP incumbent, but only a positive for Ted IF HE GETS THE MONEY FOR NAME RECOGNITION.

Ted has been wise in his use of his small resources. He won the primary runoff with postcards to all primary voters for a small cost. He has escewed robocalls as wasteful and concentrated on yard signs and such. With a bit of money he could do ads that would help in areas where people watch TV and listen to the radio, but he also needs bucks to go after those in the rural counties who do not read newspapers or watch TV that much.

Money can turn these negatives into positives.

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