October 29, 2007
Analysis : Jindal's win means Landrieu is in trouble
Part of the electoral math that plays into a 60+ D Senate Majority in January, 2009 is retaining all Democratic seats up for re-elect.
That may not happen, given the results of LA's gubernatorial primary last week which saw Former Rep. and Bush Apologist Bobby Jindal functionally elected in a traditional LA free-for-all primary with 54% of the total vote. How will this effect Landrieu? It isn't that R's have made massive gains in LA, it's that the D's haven't recovered from Katrina...
And next year the Democrats' top officeholder, Ms Landrieu, looks like facing an uphill battle. When she was last elected, in 2002, she won in large part thanks to a landslide in her home city, heavily Democratic New Orleans. Whereas the city's predilections haven't changed dramatically, its size has, and its electoral significance along with it. In 2002 almost 133,000 New Orleanians voted in the Senate race. On October 20th less than 60% of that number turned up at the polls, a sign of the city's post-Katrina shrinkage. Ms Landrieu won New Orleans by almost 80,000 votes in 2002, twice her overall margin of victory. This time, that was more votes than all the candidates got combined in the city that was once the alpha and the omega of Louisiana politics.
Posted by mcblogger at October 29, 2007 10:07 AM
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