June 28, 2006
Redistricting effects
So what's the fallout? At the very least CD 23 and CD 25 have to be redrawn. Collaterally, CD 21, 28 and 10 may be affected. As for what effect this will have on the balance of power in Texas, it's likely that 25 will become more Travis County centric, making it by default more Democratic. It's possible 10 may be redrawn with less of Katy and more of Travis County, giving an advantage to Democrats. Since most of the affected districts are in South or Central Texas, it's very likely the composition of the Texas delegation will change back to a D majority as soon as the map is redrawn.
The good news from today is that Henry Bonilla will be facing a tough challenge in a very short time. He'll get beat and even if he tries to jump to statewide in 2010, he's going to fail. In case it wasn't obvious, we very much dislike Henry Bonilla.
The bad news? Political gerrymandering can be done at anytime! If you're currently in a blue state, make sure your legislators remember that next January.
So when is the map change going to occur? That's the $64,000 question. It's very unlikely that it will be this year though there are rumors of another Special Session. Phillip Martin over at BOR has this about the mechanism...
The three-judge panel will have the responsibility of deciding what to do with the redistricting map. The first decision is when they redraw the map for -- this election cycle, or the next. The second decision, then, is whether they will redraw the map themselves, and accept three maps from both Democrats and Republicans, OR whether they kick it back to the Texas Legislature for them to redraw the lines during the 80th Regular Session starting in January.
So, until something more definitive comes out, I'm putting this issue to rest (at least here) unless someone else wants to rehash it. But I think they're all drunk and passed out right now.
Posted by mcblogger at June 28, 2006 10:01 PM
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Comments
Or, uh, getting drunk? When IS that Specs coming to Austin? I'm constantly concerned about this for you.
Posted by: muse at June 28, 2006 10:22 PM
A proposed cure for gerrymandering - the "shortest splitline algorithm" is proposed at the
Center for Range Voting's
subpage on
gerrymandering
Posted by: Warren Smith at June 29, 2006 12:51 AM
Muse: Sista, you and I both!
Posted by: mcblogger at June 29, 2006 01:18 AM
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